Feasibility, Break-even & Exit Calculator

Results are calculated solely from your inputs, not market quotations or return forecasts. Record a verifiable source and date for the initial capital and each year; explicitly account for disposal tax, selling and finance costs before relying on cash flows.

Reproducible feasibility model

Enter project inputs and their source. Published ROI ranges do not generate results. Use one currency; annual inputs include your chosen inflation and price changes.

Enter every annual value; use an explicit zero for inapplicable items. Market inputs have not been approved for this study.

Asset disposal proceeds belong only in the final year; do not count the same sale more than once.

Initial CAPEXInitial working capitalInitial debt drawdownProject discount rate %Profit tax rate %Model currency Years Cost, financing and tax sources Input data date

Reproducible feasibility model
Years	Annual unit capacity	Utilization %	Unit selling price	Variable cost per unit	Other fixed costs	Annual payroll	Annual fixed energy cost	Annual depreciation	Subsequent CAPEX	Year-end working capital	Interest paid	Debt principal repayment	Net asset disposal in final year only	Annual input source	Source date

ConservativeSelling price change %Sales volume change %Operating cost change %

UpsideSelling price change %Sales volume change %Operating cost change %

Project cash flow

Revenue

EBITDA

Years	Units sold	Revenue	OPEX	EBITDA	Annual depreciation	Project operating tax	Change in working capital	Subsequent CAPEX	Free cash flow before exit	Net asset disposal in final year only	Working capital recovery	Project cash flow	Interest paid	Tax after interest	Debt principal repayment	Debt balance settled at exit	Equity cash flow	Operating break-even units	Operating break-even revenue	Break-even utilization %	Cumulative project cash flow since initial investment	Cumulative equity cash flow since initial investment	Cumulative gap beyond initial equity	Cash available for debt service (model estimate)	Debt service: interest + principal + final balloon	Outstanding debt after payments	Debt service coverage ratio (estimate)

Annual cash flows by scenario

All figures are recomputed year by year from your inputs, in the model currency. A scenario above declared capacity has no fabricated values.

Scenario	Years	Revenue	EBITDA	Project cash flow	Equity cash flow	Cumulative gap beyond initial equity	Cash available for debt service (model estimate)	Debt service: interest + principal + final balloon	Debt service coverage ratio (estimate)	Operating break-even status

Reproducible feasibility model	Project NPV	Project IRR	Average annual accounting return on initial equity (not cash yield)	Payback including exit	Peak additional funding requirement	Minimum debt service coverage	Years operating cash falls short of debt service	Years break-even is not achievable at capacity

CSV units: IRR, ROI, utilization and shocks are percentage points (12 means 12%); DSCR is a ratio (1.2 means 1.2×); payback is in years. All money uses the selected currency. Source review dates are user-provided, not independent verification.

Methodology · 5.0

Revenue = capacity × utilization × unit price. EBITDA = revenue minus variable, fixed, payroll and fixed energy costs. Production-linked energy belongs only in unit cost. FCF = EBITDA minus operating tax, subsequent CAPEX and working-capital change. Annual positive profits are taxed without automatic loss carryforwards or incentives. Depreciation, working capital and inflation are explicit annual inputs. Final working capital is fully recovered and remaining debt repaid at the horizon. NPV uses year-end cash flows in model currency, without implicit FX conversion. You set sensitivity changes within capacity. Fractional payback assumes even cash flows during the year. Recovery that depends on disposal proceeds or working-capital release at year end is dated at that year end. Asset disposal proceeds belong only in the final year; do not count the same sale more than once. The year-end gap assumes earlier positive cash flows are retained. It excludes intra-year cash shortfalls and new financing charges and does not double-count initial equity. Scenario cannot be calculated: assumed demand exceeds declared operating capacity. Revise assumptions or document extra capacity; no return is reported for this case. Indicative coverage, not a lender covenant: available cash = EBITDA − estimated profit tax after interest − reinvestment − working-capital change. Debt service includes interest, scheduled principal and the final balloon. Asset sale and final working-capital recovery are excluded. This is not verified cash tax or the definition in a loan contract. Operating break-even compares required units with declared annual capacity; a displayed theoretical amount is not proof it can be achieved.

Revenue = capacity × utilization × unit price
EBITDA = revenue − variable costs − fixed costs − payroll − fixed energy
FCF = EBITDA − operating tax − CAPEX − ΔWC
NPV = Σ CF(t)/(1+r)^t
Break-even units = fixed operating costs / (price − variable unit cost)
CFADS (model proxy) = EBITDA − equity cash-tax estimate − subsequent CAPEX − ΔWC
Debt service = interest + scheduled principal + final balloon
DSCR = CFADS / debt service (not a contractual lender ratio)